There was a bit of discussion on Sunday afternoon at the community centre about this. There's a definite feeling that there's a large number who've come to bikepacking through the bike industry's mode of using it to sell stuff. I suspect many of those that Stu talks about would be expecting something like a long version of the Dirty Reiver up in Kielder Forest, essentially terrain just beyond what most would be comfortable using a road bike on.
I think there is an underestimation of how hard the really bad part of the east - west leg and then the land rover track were in the proper darkness. I was lucky in that I just got off the east -west bit as it went proper dark, the land rover track was just an endless hell where the track on the other side of the river crossing was indistinguishable and many time you were heading down the river
Was I slow?
Well the half a dozen riders in a stretched out group behind on the east -west leg me never caught up with me through it, I saw a light only once in the last km of it and then never again. Some may have passed me when I had my meal in the PC but nothing as I headed up the forest track towards the next moorland crossing where I decided to stop for a rest tired with no hope of a black badge. I'm only aware of one who passed in the night around 4 or 5am (good on them) and one more passed as I ate breakfast (caught them in town) and they had passed a few bivying, walked up the climb with two more but dropped them on the descent and never saw them again. Spent a couple of hours at the cross roads in town outside a cafe and didn't see one rider.
Other than one or possibly two riders I don't think anyone who hadn't made the turn east and into the forest in daylight would have completed (unless I missed them in the PC or snoring next to the track)
I'm not saying that with an elitist mindset but from a practical stand-point. Many had / have never ridden on anything other than a gravel path. Some had never carried their own kit and others had never camped. Yet, many seemed quite put out when I explained quite politely that they really didn't want to do it and they most certainly wouldn't enjoy it, no matter type 1, 2 or 3.
What I note is that the faster riders pack very light, I knew there was a risk of a stop and packed accordingly, perhaps stopping anyone finishing before 22 or 23 hours may make it more of a bike packing event for all entrants