Strava reckoned I was moving for just about 19h20m — in theory that puts a Black Badge well within reach. However ...
Strava and RWGPS calculate moving/stopped based on a minimum threshold and disagree on this, so it's also plausible that both are off and that I was "moving" for more than 19h20m. The problem is that "not moving" covers a lot of bases, including opening/closing gates, fording streams, two steps forward/one step back up the scree, etc.
So I had a little count — there were, I reckon, about 100 gates on the 200. I got to this number by tracing along the route on a map and — from memory, which is tired — added each gate I could remember, and a few I don't (e.g. I remember there being a lot of gates on that leg before the Mid Wales Inn, but I can't remember exactly how many). I got exactly 100 — go figure. Not all gates are made the same, so there's probably 90 minutes of non-moving faffage right there.
I also counted up the lift-the-bike-over fords. Not knowing the depths meant some of them could've been pushed, but a bad experience with submerged hubs over 20 years ago means often I prefer to lift than push, just in case. I counted seven of these fords on the route, although probably only three were proper lift-it-or-lose-it. There's probably another 15 minutes solo or 30-45 minutes in a group.
So, 19h20m + 90m + 30m = 21h20m "traversing". Yep, even with those interruptions I think there's a Black Badge in there somewhere, even in Saturday's conditions, but not a huge amount of time to do other stuff, like optimistically squeeze the dregs out of the socks, or eat, and there's still the unknown-accuracy of both Strava's and RWGPS's not-moving algorithms to account for, so maybe there isn't a Black Badge in there — this year — after all
ps. I got a blue badge for 25h36m, but I did have nearly an hour-fifteen's essential-snooze in the bus stop before Llanidloes, to which Asposium can testify. After that snooze I was much quicker than before it — I guess it helps if you manage to avoid accumulating sleep debt the week before, something to keep in mind for next year
